LovelandPolitics
Loveland's Independent News Source
Loveland, August 2, 2016

Several tax questions involving big numbers will be on the ballot this November.  We in Colorado
are fortunate to have an opportunity to vote on new taxes and on some increases in existing taxes;
but there are taxes we vote on and some that we don’t.  Voters might want to decide their votes
this November with a perspective that extends into next year, 2017, and what happens then.

Last year, in February, we suggested that the county commissioners consider a temporary mill
levy reduction as part of the 2015 county budget and the 2015 tax roll. We had not completed all
the valuation models for the 2015 reappraisal at that point, but it was clear from what we had
completed that the increases in 2015 property values would match or exceed the rates of property
valuation increases we last saw in the mid- and late 1990s.

To the commissioners’ credit, they included a temporary mill levy reduction as part of the total
county mill levy in 2015. Larimer County was one of very few taxing entities to do so, not only
within Larimer County, but throughout the state, as well.  School districts and counties are the
biggest spenders of property tax.

Temporary mill levy reductions were common in our tax rolls in the 1990s when the county and
other taxing entities operated under the full-bodied 1992 TABOR Amendment.  The county
partially “de-Bruced” in 1999.  Other entities also de-Bruced around the same time.

Tax effects of rising property values are different today than they were twenty years ago.  The tax
effects of rising property values in the 1990s were mitigated in two ways that no longer apply
exactly as they did then:

First, the TABOR Amendment specifies: “
The maximum annual percentage change in each
district's property tax revenue equals inflation in the prior calendar year plus annual local
growth…
.”  That means that total property tax revenue in a district cannot increase over district
revenue in the prior year by more than the annual rate of inflation plus the value of new real
property construction in the district.  So, if inflation was 3% and net new construction added 2% to
the tax base, the district’s revenue could not increase by more that 5%.  When property values
were increasing at a rate of 8% or more each year, as they are now and were then, TABOR
required a throttling back of customary budgeting practices. The county adopted temporary mill
levy reductions to stay below the annual TABOR revenue ceilings. The county’s de-Brucing in 1999
meant that this TABOR provision on restricting revenues no longer applied.

Second, according to the 1982 Gallagher Amendment, the assessment rate on residential
properties was to be adjusted annually by the legislature to maintain a balance between property
taxes paid on residential properties and the property taxes paid on non-residential properties
statewide.

The residential assessment rate was adjusted downward in each reappraisal in the 1990s, from
14.34% in 1991 to 9.76% in 1999.  Those reductions in the residential assessment rate caused a
decrease of about one-third in the effective property tax rate on residential properties over the
period.  Homeowners benefited but owners of commercial and other non-residential property did
not.  The assessment rate of 29% on non-residential property is carved into stone in the Gallagher
Amendment.  When Gallagher first passed, the assessment rate on residential properties was 21%.

The residential assessment rate bottomed out at 7.96% in 2003.  It hasn’t changed in the six
reappraisals since.  We don’t know if the rate will be adjusted for the 2017 reappraisal.  The
legislature will decide that in the next session.

The 2015 reappraisal led to property tax bills that were substantially larger than tax bills in the
preceding years.  Increases in property values in the 2017 reappraisal may well be even larger
than in 2015, which means property taxes will also increase substantially in the 2017 tax roll.
These are systemic tax increases that we don’t vote on.

Our purpose here is not to take a position on any of the tax questions on the ballot but instead to
advise taxpayers, property tax payers in particular, that beyond the uncertainty about which new
taxes will pass on election day, there is a certainty that property taxes will go up when the 2017
tax roll is prepared.  How much will yours go up?  Talk to your favorite real estate pro, or go to one
of the on-line property valuation sites like
Zillow.com and see the value on your home there.  Then,
see what we have as the 2015 value on your home at
Larimer.org/Assessor.  The level of value for
the 2017 reappraisal is June 30, 2016, so the Zillow number should be close enough. Compare the
value on your property that we set last year and compare it to the Zillow value now.  Sitting down
beforehand is a good idea.  
Tax Increases: some we vote on, some we don't
Commentary by Larimer County Assessor Steve Miller
Larimer County Assessor Steve Miller
Year
2015
2016
Total Value
$175,000
$230,022
Zillow.com
Assessed
Value
$13,930
$18,310
Mill Levy
72.741/1000
$1,013
$1,332
Monthly
$84.44
$110.99
Example of rising property taxes for 2017
without any ballot measure passing to
increase property taxes

1748 Elk Springs, Loveland